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Macroeconomics

See the latest research, articles and faculty on the Macroeconomics Area of Expertise at Columbia Business School.

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Latest on Macroeconomics

Business and Society, Economics and Policy, Globalization, Management, Social Impact
Date
March 27, 2025
Depressed woman in business
Business and Society, Economics and Policy, Globalization, Management, Social Impact

When Economic Struggles Foster Self-Interest, Not Universal Compassion

A Columbia Business School study shows that experiencing a recession in young adulthood leads to lasting support for wealth redistribution—but mostly for one’s own group.
  • Read more about When Economic Struggles Foster Self-Interest, Not Universal Compassion about When Economic Struggles Foster Self-Interest, Not Universal Compassion
Business and Society, Economics and Policy, Globalization
Date
March 24, 2025
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz
Business and Society, Economics and Policy, Globalization

Video: Balancing Freedom and Responsibility in the Age of AI

Nobel laureate and economist Joseph Stiglitz on why true freedom requires a progressive economic vision.
  • Read more about Video: Balancing Freedom and Responsibility in the Age of AI about Video: Balancing Freedom and Responsibility in the Age of AI
Business and Society, Climate and Finance, Climate and Solutions, Economics and Policy
Date
February 18, 2025
Flooding in a residential area of Florida caused by a tropical storm
Business and Society, Climate and Finance, Climate and Solutions, Economics and Policy

When Fragile Insurers Meet Climate Change, Taxpayers End Up on the Hook

New research from Professor Parinitha Sastry and her co-authors examines the challenges facing Florida’s homeowners insurance market. 
  • Read more about When Fragile Insurers Meet Climate Change, Taxpayers End Up on the Hook about When Fragile Insurers Meet Climate Change, Taxpayers End Up on the Hook
Business and Society, Organizations, Research
Date
February 17, 2025
Paperwork with colorful data charts and graphs Image
Business and Society, Organizations, Research
Press Release

Inflated Outlook: Sensitivity to Inflation Negatively Predicts Business Growth

Research from Columbia Business School Reveals that Stock Return Sensitivity to Inflation is a Strong Negative Predictor of Growth 
  • Read more about Inflated Outlook: Sensitivity to Inflation Negatively Predicts Business Growth about Inflated Outlook: Sensitivity to Inflation Negatively Predicts Business Growth
Business and Society, Business Economics and Public Policy, Chazen Global Insights, Globalization, Hub Insights, World Business
Date
February 04, 2025
Professor Joseph Stiglitz and Dean Emeritus Glenn Hubbard
Business and Society, Business Economics and Public Policy, Chazen Global Insights, Globalization, Hub Insights, World Business

Bizcast: Professor Joseph Stiglitz and The Road to Freedom

Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz joins Dean Emeritus Glenn Hubbard for a compelling discussion on economic policy, inequality, and the future of global markets.
  • Read more about Bizcast: Professor Joseph Stiglitz and The Road to Freedom about Bizcast: Professor Joseph Stiglitz and The Road to Freedom
Capital Markets and Investments, Elections, Globalization, Leadership
Date
January 21, 2025
President Donald Trump
Capital Markets and Investments, Elections, Globalization, Leadership

Understanding Trump’s Policies on Trades: Insights on Tariffs, Mexico, Canada, and China

Trump's policies on tariffs with Mexico, Canada, and China could reshape U.S. trade relations. CBS experts explore how his executive orders may impact the economy.
  • Read more about Understanding Trump’s Policies on Trades: Insights on Tariffs, Mexico, Canada, and China about Understanding Trump’s Policies on Trades: Insights on Tariffs, Mexico, Canada, and China
Climate and Policy, Economics and Policy, Elections, Faculty Views, Politics, Tax Policy, World Business
Date
January 15, 2025
President Donald Trump
Climate and Policy, Economics and Policy, Elections, Faculty Views, Politics, Tax Policy, World Business

How Trump’s Second Term Could Reshape Business Strategy: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and Climate Policy

The new president's proposed policies are poised to reshape the business landscape. Columbia Business School experts break down what leaders need to know about Trump's second term. 
  • Read more about How Trump’s Second Term Could Reshape Business Strategy: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and Climate Policy about How Trump’s Second Term Could Reshape Business Strategy: Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and Climate Policy
Capital Markets and Investments, Economics and Policy, Finance, Finance and Economics
Date
January 07, 2025
Wall Street sign and US flags
Capital Markets and Investments, Economics and Policy, Finance, Finance and Economics

Are Liquidity Regulations Making Banks Safer—or Riskier?

Research by Professors Kairong Xiao and Suresh Sundaresan paint a picture of how post-crisis reforms are affecting the banking sector, often in unanticipated ways.
  • Read more about Are Liquidity Regulations Making Banks Safer—or Riskier? about Are Liquidity Regulations Making Banks Safer—or Riskier?

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CBS Faculty Research on Macroeconomics

The Gender Pay Gap: Micro Sources and Macro Consequences

Authors
Iacopo Morchio and Christian Moser
Date
June 12, 2025
Format
Journal Article
Journal
American Economic Review

Using linked employer-employee data from Brazil, we document a significant gender pay gap, which is largely attributed to women working at lower-paying employers. To interpret this fact, we develop an equilibrium search model with endogenous firm pay, amenities, and hiring. We provide a constructive proof of identification of all model parameters. The estimated model suggests that amenities are important for both men and women, and that compensating differentials account for half of the gender pay gap.

Read More about The Gender Pay Gap: Micro Sources and Macro Consequences

Monetary Policy and Rents

Authors
Boaz Abramson, Pablo De Llanos, and Lu Han
Date
March 19, 2025
Format
Working Paper

This paper studies the effects of monetary policy on housing rents. We provide comprehensive measures of rent inflation at a micro-geographic scale by constructing a new repeat-rent index. Using our rent index, we estimate the impulse responses of rents to monetary policy shocks by employing local projection methods. We find that monetary tightening increases both real and nominal rents. A 25 basis point increase in the 30-year fixed rate mortgage raises real (nominal) rents by 1.7 (1.4) percent 12-24 months following the monetary policy shock.

Read More about Monetary Policy and Rents

A Theory of Fiscal Responsibility and Irresponsibility

Authors
Marina Halac and Pierre Yared
Date
March 18, 2025
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Political Economy

We propose a political economy mechanism that explains the presence of fiscal regimes punctuated by crisis periods. Our model focuses on the interaction between successive deficit-biased governments subject to independently and identically distributed fiscal shocks. We show that the economy transitions between a fiscally responsible regime and a fiscally irresponsible regime, with transitions occurring during crises when fiscal needs are large. Under fiscal responsibility, governments limit their spending to avoid transitioning to fiscal irresponsibility.

Read More about A Theory of Fiscal Responsibility and Irresponsibility

The folly of America’s R&D cuts

Authors
R. Glenn Hubbard
Date
March 10, 2025
Format
Newspaper/Magazine Article
Publication
Financial Times
Trump administration cuts to federal R&D funding contradict growth objectives; research shows every $1 in public R&D generates $2 in economic output, making these cuts counterproductive to innovation and productivity.
Read More about The folly of America’s R&D cuts

Banks’ Motivations for Designating Securities as Held to Maturity

Authors
Sehwa Kim, Seil Kim, and Stephen G. Ryan
Date
February 17, 2025
Format
Working Paper

We provide evidence that banks classify fixed-rate debt investment securities as held to maturity (HTM) rather than as available for sale (AFS) when HTM classification provides preferred financial accounting and regulatory capital treatments, not because they have a distinct economically motivated intent and ability to hold the securities to maturity.

Read More about Banks’ Motivations for Designating Securities as Held to Maturity

Foreign Direct Investment and Development

Authors
Stefania Garetto, Nina Pavcnik, Natalia Ramondo, Vanessa Alviarez, Jingting Fan, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, Nicola Limodio, Isabela Manelici, Nicolas Morales, Evangelina Dardati, Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman, Grace Weishi Gu, Galina Hale, David Hémous, Ralf Martin, Farid Farrokhi, Heitor S. Pellegrina, Pierre-Louis Vézina, Laura Boudreau, and Jose P. Vasquez
Date
February 12, 2025
Format
Journal Article
Journal
VoxDevLit

Multinational enterprises are at the centre of policy debates in low- and middle-income countries. As some of the most productive and innovative firms in the world, which are at the core of global supply chains, multinational enterprises (MNEs) can accelerate development in the countries hosting them, both directly with their presence, and indirectly through linkages to local economic actors.

Read More about Foreign Direct Investment and Development

VoxDevLit on Foreign Direct Investment

Authors
Laura Boudreau
Date
February 12, 2025
Format
Journal Article
Journal
VoxDev

Multinational enterprises are at the centre of policy debates in low- and middle-income countries. As some of the most productive and innovative firms in the world, which are at the core of global supply chains, multinational enterprises (MNEs) can accelerate development in the countries hosting them, both directly with their presence, and indirectly through linkages to local economic actors.

Read More about VoxDevLit on Foreign Direct Investment

The Data Economy: Tools and Applications

Authors
Isaac Baley and Laura Veldkamp
Date
January 14, 2025
Format
Book
Publisher
Princeton University Press

Data is the new oil. It is the fuel for AI, a firm asset, a strategic advantage, information for prediction, a productivity booster, a privacy concern, a by-product of transactions, and a means of payment. How can we update traditional economic and finance frameworks to include a role for data and use these updated frameworks to measures it economic impact?

Read More about The Data Economy: Tools and Applications

The Macroeconomics of Stakeholder Equilibria*

Authors
John Donaldson and Hyung Seok E. Kim
Date
Forthcoming
Format
Working Paper

We propose one route to a more inclusive society. Our context is the prevailing one of high wealth inequality where stockholders alone supply the stochastic discount factor governing the allocation of capital. A large and pervasive pecuniary externality is thus imposed on non-stockholder workers, something we view as antithetical to the notion of an inclusive society.

Read More about The Macroeconomics of Stakeholder Equilibria*

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Research on Macroeconomics

Photo of Prof. Tommaso Porzio

Tommaso Porzio

Daniel W. Stanton Associate Professor of Business
Economics Division
David E. Weinstein

David Weinstein

Professor (by courtesy)
Finance Division
Director
Center on Japanese Economy and Business
Conor Walsh

Conor Walsh

Assistant Professor of Business
Economics Division
Shang-Jin Wei

Shang-Jin Wei

N.T. Wang Professor of Chinese Business and Economy
Economics Division
Laura Veldkamp

Laura Veldkamp

Leon G. Cooperman Professor of Finance & Economics
Finance Division
Abby Cohen

Abby Cohen

Professor of Business
Economics Division
President, Global Markets Institute and Senior Investment Strategist
Goldman Sachs
Columbia Business School

Xavier Giroud

Stefan H. Robock Professor of Finance and Economics
Finance Division
Kevin Yuan

Kevin M. Yuan

Adjunct Assistant Professor of Business
Finance Division
Brett House

Brett House

Professor of Professional Practice in the Faculty of Business
Economics Division

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