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How Prediction Markets Raise Insider Trading and Credit Risks

Date Published
December 9, 2025
Section
In the Media
Areas of Expertise
AI & Transformative Tech Financial Institutions Marketplace Design
From:
CBS In the News

Columbia Business School Professor Yash Kanoria spoke with Cointelegraph reporter Aaron Wood about the growing concerns around wash trading in prediction markets and whether these platforms meaningfully influence credit markets. Kanoria explained that while prediction markets can offer insight into public sentiment and geopolitical expectations, their direct impact on credit risk is limited due to relatively low liquidity and concentrated participation. He noted that wash trading—artificially inflating transaction volume to create the illusion of activity—can further distort signals, reducing the informational value of these markets. Kanoria emphasized the importance of monitoring trading patterns and implementing safeguards to maintain market integrity.

 

Mentioned Faculty

Kanoria, Yash

Yash Kanoria

Merrill Lynch Professor of Workforce Transformation
Decision, Risk, and Operations Division
Mentioned On
Cointelegraph
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