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Milstein All Research

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Milstein Research Lab

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Milstein Research Lab Citations

Sift through our collection of research by Milstein faculty.

Converting Brown Offices to Green Apartments

Authors
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Arpit Gupta, and Candy Martinez
Date
August 1, 2023
Format
Working Paper

The conversion of brown office buildings to green apartments can contribute towards a solution to three pressing issues: oversupply of office in a hybrid-and-remote-work world, shortage of housing, and excessive greenhouse gas emissions. We propose a set of criteria to identify commercial office properties that are are physically suitable for conversion, yielding about 11% of all office buildings across the U.S. We present a pro-forma real estate model that identifies parameters under which these conversions are financially viable.

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Mortgage Refinancing, Consumer Spending, and Competition: Evidence from the Home Affordable Refinance Program

Authors
Sumit Agarwal, Gene Amromin, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Tim Landvoigt, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru, and Vincent Yao
Date
March 6, 2023
Format
Journal Article
Journal
The Review of Economic Studies
Using loan-level mortgage data merged with consumer credit records, we examine the ability of the government to impact mortgage refinancing activity and spur consumption by focusing on the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). The policy relaxed housing equity constraints by extending government credit guarantee on insufficiently collateralized mortgages refinanced by intermediaries. Difference-in-difference tests based on program eligibility criteria reveal a significant increase in refinancing activity by HARP.
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The Remote Work Revolution: Implications for Real Estate and Urban Economics

Authors
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Date
January 1, 2023
Format
Working Paper

The covid-19 pandemic induced a major shift in the prevalence of remote and hybrid work arrangements. This review article studies the effects of this remote work revolution for residential and commercial real estate values and for the future of cities. It also discusses consequences for productivity, innovation, local public finance, and the climate. The last part of the article discusses policy interventions.

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Flattening the Curve: Pandemic-Induced Revaluation of Real Estate

Authors
A. Gupta, V. Mittal, J. Peeters, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Date
November 1, 2022
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Financial Economics

We show that the COVID-19 pandemic brought house price and rent declines in city centers, and price and rent increases away from the center, thereby flattening the bid-rent curve in most U.S. metropolitan areas. Across MSAs, the flattening of the bid-rent curve is larger when working from home is more prevalent, housing markets are more regulated, and supply is less elastic. Housing markets predict that urban rent growth will exceed suburban rent growth for the foreseeable future.

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Fiscal Capacity: An Asset Pricing Perspective

Authors
Z. Jiang, H. Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and M. Xiaolan-Zhang
Date
October 1, 2022
Format
Working Paper

This review revisits the literature on fiscal capacity using modern tools from asset pricing. We find that properly accounting for aggregate risk substantially reduces fiscal capacity. In this environment, the gap between the risk-free rate and the expected growth rate is not a sufficient statistic for fiscal capacity.

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Aggregate Lapsation Risk

Authors
R. Koijen, HK Lee, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Date
August 1, 2022
Format
Working Paper
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