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Decision Making & Negotiations

See the latest research, articles and faculty on the Decision Making & Negotiations Area of Expertise at Columbia Business School.

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Decision Making & Negotiations

Decision Making & Negotiations Research

When Does Advertising Have an Impact? A Study of Tracking Data

Authors
Rajeev Batra, Donald Lehmann, Joanne Burke, and Jae H. Pae
Date
September 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Advertising Research

This paper attempts to find characteristics of product categories, brands, and ad copy that lead to either increased or decreased effectiveness of advertising spending on ad awareness, brand awareness, or purchase intentions, as measured through tracking data.

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The Effects of Advertised and Observed Quality on Expectations About New Product Quality

Authors
Praveen Kopalle and Donald Lehmann
Date
August 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Marketing Research

The authors describe a model of the effects of advertised and observed quality on consumer expectations about new product quality. They test the model using data from two computer-controlled shopping experiments. In both studies, quadratic and gamma specifications for the effect of advertising claim discrepancy on expectation change fit better than a linear model. Furthermore, the adaptive expectations framework describes the updating of consumer expectations when the consumer observes the quality of the new product.

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On the accuracy of the simple peak hour approximation for Markovian queues

Authors
Linda Green and Peter Kolesar
Date
August 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Management Science

We empirically explore the accuracy of the simple stationary peak hour approximation (SPHA) for estimating peak hour performance in multiserver queuing systems with exponential service times and periodic (sinusoidal) Poisson arrival processes. We show that the SPHA is very good for a range of parameter values corresponding to a reasonably broad spectrum of real systems. However, we do find and document that there are many situation in which this approximation will be very inaccurate.

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The Impact of Bundle Type Price Framing and Familiarity on Evaluation of the Bundle

Authors
Bari Harlam, Aradhna Krishna, Donald Lehmann, and Carl Mela
Date
May 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Business Research

Bundling of products is very prevalent in the marketplace. For example, travel packages include airfare, lodging, and a rental car. Considerable economic research has focused on the change in profits and consumer surplus that ensues if bundles are offered. There is relatively little research in marketing that deals with bundling, however. In this article we concentrate on some tactical issues of bundling, such as which types of products should be bundled, what price one can charge for the bundle, and how the price of the bundle should be presented to consumers to improve purchase intent.

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Fast solution and detection of minimal forecast horizons in dynamic programs with a single indicator of the future: Applications to dynamic lot-sizing models

Authors
Awi Federgruen and Michal Tzur
Date
May 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Management Science

In most dynamic planning problems, one observes that an optimal decision at any given stage depends on limited information, i.e. information pertaining to a limited set of adjacent or nearby stages. This holds in particular for planning problems over time, where an optimal decision in a given period depends on information related to a limited future time horizon, a so-called forecast horizon, only. In this paper we identify a general class of dynamic programs in which an efficient forward algorithm can be designed to solve the problem and to identify minimal forecast horizons.

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Using Fuzzy Set Theoretic Techniques to Identify Preference Rules from Interactions in the Linear Model: An Empirical Study

Authors
Carl Mela and Donald Lehmann
Date
April 28, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Fuzzy Sets and Systems

This paper seeks to establish a parametric linkage between fuzzy set theoretic techniques and commonly used preference formation rules in psychology and marketing. Such a linkage helps to benefit both fields. We accomplish this objective by using a linear model with interaction term which nests many common preference protocols; conjunction (fuzzy and), disjunction (fuzzy or), counterbalance (fuzzy xor) and linear compensatory.

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A Nested Logit Model for Brand Choice Incorporating Variety Seeking and Marketing Mix Variables

Authors
Asim Ansari, K. Bawa, and Avijit Ghosh
Date
January 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Marketing Letters

We model the effects of variety-seeking and marketing-mix variables on consumers' purchases of coffee using a nested logit model. We premise that on any given purchase occasion, the utilities of brands other than the one purchased on the previous occasion may be correlated due to the consumer's tendency to seek variety or to avoid variety. This results in a two-level hierarchical model where choice on any purchase occasion is conditioned on the brand purchased on the immediately preceding occasion.

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Training, Wage Growth, and Job Performance: Evidence from a Company Database

Authors
Ann Bartel
Date
January 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Labor Economics

A unique dataset collected from the personnel records of a large company is used to study the relationship between on-the-job training and worker productivity. The analysis shows how information contained in a company database is useful for eliminating heterogeneity bias in the estimation of training's impact on wages and job performance.

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Empirical Marketing Generalization Using Meta-analysis

Authors
John Farley, Donald Lehmann, and Alan Sawyer
Date
January 1, 1995
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Marketing Science

A decade of work in marketing meta-analysis has produced empirical generalizations concerning parameters in models of advertising, price, diffusion, and consumer behavior. Results from these meta-analyses should replace the now discredited zero null hypotheses of such parameters in future work. Probably more important than nonzero "grand mean" average effects is an approach called Parametric Adjustability, which provides estimated parameter values for specific conditions reflecting markets and research technologies.

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