Decision Making & Negotiations

Not all first impressions have equal longevity. Which kinds of impression have the greatest mobility--downward and upward--over the course of acquaintanceships? Previous research has indicated that first impressions of extraversion (E) have greater longitudinal stability than first impressions of other Big Five traits: agreeableness (A), conscientiousness (C), emotional stability (ES), and openness (O). In this article, we propose an inferential account of E impression stability.

New product development is integral to marketing. There are questions, however, regarding the extent to which new products are good and for whom they are good. While benefits may be obvious for manufacturers, sellers, and users of any particular product, stakeholders beyond the transaction and direct usage of said product may receive no benefits and perhaps may be harmed by new products.

How can an investor learn from poker experts David Slansky and Puggy Pearson? What does guppy mate selection tell us about stock market booms? Do Tupperware parties have anything to tell us about how we select stocks? These are just some of the questions Michael Mauboussin considers in More Than You Know.

Event sponsors often do not receive proper credit for their efforts. This issue was examined in a field study involving over 300 baseball fans attending minor league games during the summer season. Signal detection analyses reveal that, even among such sports fans, the ability to correctly discriminate actual official sponsors of the home team from matched foils, although above chance, was rather poor. Consistent with recent laboratory findings, sponsor identification responses were further found to be heavily influenced by the mere plausibility of the brand as a potential sponsor.

We study dating behavior using data from a Speed Dating experiment where we generate random matching of subjects and create random variation in the number of potential partners. Our design allows us to directly observe individual decisions rather than just final matches. Women put greater weight on the intelligence and the race of partner, while men respond more to physical attractiveness. Moreover, men do not value women's intelligence or ambition when it exceeds their own. Also, we find that women exhibit a preference for men who grew up in affluent neighborhoods.

The conference paper by Johnson (2006, Review of Accounting Studies, forthcoming) develops an incomplete-contracting transfer pricing model with a number of novel features: taxation, sequential investments, and intangible assets being transferred. This discussion aims to disentangle these features so as to highlight those that are the key drivers of the results. Moreover, I show that some of the results can be generalized to settings involving a greater level of technological interdependency between the divisions.

Can one identify a "philosophy of regulation" that underlies the regulatory advocacy of the Fed under Chairman Greenspan? Although the Fed's advocacy on various matters may appear somewhat contradictory or, at least, philosophically heterodox, the Fed has behaved in a manner that is remarkably predictable, once one takes account of the political arena in which both regulatory and monetary policy are made. There is fairly straightforward logic to the Fed's regulatory advocacy.

When a boom ends, the downturn is generally sharp and short. When growth resumes, the boom is more gradual. Our explanation rests on learning about productivity. When agents believe productivity is high, they work, invest, and produce more. More production generates higher precision information. When the boom ends, precise estimates of the slowdown prompt decisive reactions: Investment and labor fall sharply. When growth resumes, low production yields noisy estimates of recovery. Noise impedes learning, slows recovery, and makes booms more gradual than downturns.

Records of over half a million participants in more than 600 401(k) plans indicate that participants tend to allocate their contributions evenly across the funds they use, with the tendency weakening with the number of funds used. The number of funds used, typically between three and four, is not sensitive to the number of funds offered by the plans, which ranges from 4 to 59. A participant?s propensity to allocate contributions to equity funds is not very sensitive to the fraction of equity funds among offered funds.